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BBC Radio 4

Tim Harford explains - and sometimes debunks - the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life.

1129 episodes tracked Similar shows
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How much of all the money in the world does Elon Musk have?

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Would you take £50,000 or a 50/50 chance of £1m?

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The mistake in Trump’s tariff formula

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Is crime in London ‘through the roof’?

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How much luck do you need to win the World Cup?

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Does playing tennis make you live 9.7 years longer?

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Does the average teacher really earn £54,000?

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Does a full moon make crime rates go up?

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Examining the numbers behind Andy Burnham’s ‘Manchester Miracle’

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Benefits v minimum wage: Which pays more?

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Is the US worse than North Korea for malnutrition deaths?

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Does Europe suffer more heat deaths than the US?

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Andrew Ross Sorkin: What can the Great Crash of 1929 tell us about today?

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Education, Education, Education (and Immigration)

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Factchecking claims that 400 churches were burned to the ground in France

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Debunking the claim that migrants will get half of new homes

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The known unknowns of Ebola in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

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Does a fall in the UK's healthy life expectancy mean what you think it means?

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Is the ‘loneliness epidemic’ real?

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Are refugees more likely to commit crime?

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Erdos Problem 1196: Can AI now solve maths that no human can?

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Why it’s wrong to say vaping is as bad for you as smoking

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Does it take 15,000 litres of water to produce a kilogram of beef?

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Have RFK and MAHA really changed American views on vaccines?

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Is Trump right that wind turbines are killing millions of birds?

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Dr Spock’s dangerous advice on baby sleep

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How likely is ‘likely’?

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How much water does AI consume?

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Paul Ehrlich: The man who bet England wouldn’t exist by the year 2000

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Transgender women in sport: Does ‘comparable’ mean ‘equal’?

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US-Israel war with Iran: Do the gulf states have enough interceptor missiles?

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Has a company really discovered a million new species?

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Did AI researchers let AI hallucinations into scientific papers?

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Is an ancient charioteer the best paid sportsperson of all time?

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Is this Premier League striker a secret maths genius?

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Could Europe use its financial muscle to strong-arm the US?

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Can you get £71,000 on benefits?

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Is Greenland as big as Africa?

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How close is Greenland to the United States?

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No, a study has not shown that the covid jab causes cancer

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Have more than 100 private schools been forced to close because of VAT?

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Does Venezuela really have the biggest oil reserves in the world?

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Immigration, Benefits and Inequality

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The Stats of the Nation: Immigration, benefits and inequality

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Older People, Education, Prisons and the Weather

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The Stats of the Nation: Older people, education, prisons and the weather

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The Stats of the Nation: Sex, drugs and empty homes

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Sex, Drugs and Empty Homes

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The Stats of the Nation: Health

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Health

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The Stats of the Nation: The Economy

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The Economy

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Numbers of the year 2026

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Numbers of the Year 2025

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Numbers of the year 2025

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Were there really Three Wise Men?

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The shocking world of US health costs

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Do we really have ‘superflu’?

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RCP 8.5: Why did the climate change model get it wrong?

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Is RFK right about US sperm counts?

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Richard Thaler and The Winner’s Curse

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Is there a stock market crash coming?

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Has there been a $50 trillion wealth transfer to the richest Americans?

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Is RFK Jr right about China's diabetes rate?

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Halloween special: How many people did the real Dracula impale?

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Is your housework split sexist?

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Nobel economics prize 2025: What's the big idea?

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Are millions of people getting Motability cars for anxiety and ADHD?

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Are 72% of prison inmates in Switzerland foreign?

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Does half the UK get more in benefits than they pay in tax?

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Is the world getting less miserable?

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Has Donald Trump ended seven 'unendable' wars?

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The Case of the Missing US Data

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Was it easier to deport migrants to France before Brexit?

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Is JD Vance right about left-wing violence?

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Is it true that out-of-work benefits have almost doubled?

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Will the world really be 50 million workers short by 2030?

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Are Afghan nationals more likely to be convicted of sexual offences?

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Do 11,000 sharks die every hour?

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Are self-driving cars safer than cars with drivers?

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Do women feel the cold more than men?

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How weird was the Mediterranean Sea heatwave?

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How weird was the Med Sea heatwave?

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Why it matters that Trump fired data chief

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Are abortion numbers rising in the US?

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Does a single AI query use a bottle of water?

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Are abortion numbers rising in the US?

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The messy history behind the modern calendar

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Are one in six children living through war?

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Why Manchester United can afford to play badly

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Can drinking one less bottle of coke a day halve obesity?

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The economics of war: Vikings, Conquistadors and Vietnam

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Is the UK seeing a Christian revival?

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Has Russia suffered a million casualties in the Ukraine war?

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Why is data on grooming gangs so bad?

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How to spot a suspicious statistic

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Are 4% of young women in the UK on OnlyFans?

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Could you be hit by a falling satellite?

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How do you make something 10-times more lethal?

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Is the world’s population being miscounted?

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Does the average American have fewer than three friends?

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Factchecking the Trump administration’s Autism claims

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Is the UN underestimating the global fall in fertility?

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How dead is the internet?

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Warren Buffett’s brilliant bets

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Bonus episode: The Autism Curve

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Donald Trump: 100 days fact-check

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Are 80% of women really only attracted to 20% of men?

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The pioneers of proof

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How much is a human life worth?

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The mistake in Trump’s tariff formula

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Trump tariffs: All about the deficits

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Is one in four people in the UK disabled?

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What’s Trump’s problem with Canada?

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Could a 2% wealth tax raise £24bn?

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What are the chances of an asteroid hitting earth in 2032?

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Why are more people claiming disability benefits?

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How did lockdown impact children?

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What is an IQ map and can we trust them?

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DOGE, apples and irregular migrants

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Is there really $500bn of Rare Earths in Ukraine?

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Defence Spending, Rare Earths and Trunk Truths

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Has the US really given Ukraine more aid than Europe?

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Are 150 year olds getting social security payments?

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Has the US sent $50 million worth of condoms to Gaza?

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Are black babies in the US really more likely to die under the care of white doctors?

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Are quantum computers already super-powerful?

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Did Trump make billions with his meme-coin?

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Can redheads handle 25% more pain than brunettes?

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Do 79% of Swedish asylum seekers go on holiday to the country they fled from?

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Numbers of the year part 2

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Numbers of the year 2024

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Did Mussolini make the trains run on time?

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How many Americans live ‘paycheck to paycheck’?

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Did one in 10 Greeks die in World War Two?

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Can Elon Musk save the US Government $2 trillion?

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Do fossil fuels get $7 trillion in subsidies?

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Did 20 million votes really go missing in the US election?

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Do we have enough clothes for the next six generations?

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What can economics learn from sport?

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Are older drivers more dangerous?

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Is Trump right about violent crime in Venezuela and the US?

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Do US crime statistics miss out the most violent cities?

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Nobel prize: Why are some countries so much richer than others?

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When are numbers like a horse at a gymkhana?

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Uncertainty, probability and double yoked eggs

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Should the government target persnuffle?

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Are 672 billion pounds of corn eaten in the US every year?

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How do you breed seventeen octillion rats?

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The puzzles you’re meant to get wrong

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Buzzing rating76%

Could the winter fuel cut cost more than it saves?

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Do 85% of the world’s population practice a religion?

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How do you count millionaires?

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Nate Silver: Do risk-takers run the world?

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How long does it take to turn around an oil tanker?

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Who pays when trade wars heat up?

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Exclusions, black holes and dividing by zero

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Where have Cuba’s people gone?

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Do we eat a credit card's worth of microplastic each week?

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Are companies making more money from their customers?

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Is planet Earth getting greener?

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Does a language die every two weeks?

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Are women 14 times more likely to die in natural disasters?

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Is increasing turbulence making flying more dangerous?

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Federer’s 54%: Tennis stats explained

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The magic of trigonometry

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Election endings, tennis and meeting men in finance

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How a tick box doubled the US maternal mortality rates.

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Election claims and erection claims

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Do ‘pig butchering’ cyber scams make as much as half Cambodia’s GDP?

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Worse mortgages, better readers, and potholes on the moon

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Shakespeare’s maths

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Leaflets, taxes, oil workers and classrooms

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Why medical error is not the third leading cause of death in the US

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Debate, Reform, tax evasion and ants

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Data for India

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UK growth, prisons and Swiftonomics

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Is intermittent fasting going to kill you?

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MP misconduct, NHS waiting lists and gold (gold)

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Are falling marriage rates causing happiness to fall in the US?

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Is reading for pleasure the single biggest factor in how well a child does in life?

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Do one in five young Americans think the holocaust is a myth?

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Buzzing rating81%

Has Milei fixed Argentina’s inflation problem?

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98%: Is misinformation being spread about a review of trans youth medicine?

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Tackling The Three-Body Problem

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Is loneliness as bad for you as smoking?

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Remembering Daniel Kahneman

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Bonus episode: Daniel Kahneman on Thinking, Fast and Slow

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What's happening to Arctic ice?

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Does the Russian government really spend 40% of its budget on the military?

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Is public speaking really our biggest fear?

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Ultramarathons: Are women faster than men?

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School spending, excess deaths and billions of animals at Heathrow

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NBA basketball: Is height more important than skill?

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Per capita GDP, MP claims and the entire EU budget

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The digital ‘robots’ unlocking medical data

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Debt, students, shark and chips

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The global gender split in young people’s politics

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Council tax weirdness: Hartlepool vs Westminster

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A pocket-size history of the calculator

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Measles, Traitors and the cost of Brexit

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Is Oxfam right about the world’s richest and poorest people?

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Shopping, shipping and wind chill-ing

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Are there more possible games of chess than atoms in the universe?

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Life expectancy, inheritance tax and the NHS vs winter

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Do we see 10,000 adverts per day?

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Deaths, taxes and missing cats

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How much money do the ‘Ndrangheta mafia make?

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Numbers of the year 2023

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Can chocolate be better than salad?

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China’s missing numbers

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Does endurance sport harm your heart?

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Will there be a billion climate refugees?

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A boy meets girl meets stats story

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Are women in the UK the biggest binge drinkers in the world?

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Can maths prove the existence of aliens?

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Do Indian women own 11% of the world’s gold?

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The Overlooked Mathematicians of History

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What do windscreen splats tell us about insect decline?

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Greedy jobs and the gender pay gap

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Are half the words in English from French?

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Vaccine claims, Alzheimer's treatment and Tim's Parkrun times

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Is the UK really ahead in cutting carbon emissions?

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NHS consultant pay, Net Zero claims and Scotland's ferry woes

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Which city has the longest canals?

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Social housing, NHS workforce and Liz Truss debt claims

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How to approach the world through numbers

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Skin cancer, London rents and your great great great granddaughter

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Did 35,000 Americans die building the Panama Canal?

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Covid deaths, North Sea gas and Chloe Kelly's World Cup penalty

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What percentage of our brain do we actually use?

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HS2 and electric cars, UK vs China emissions & massive maths errors

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How safe is the release of Fukushima nuclear plant water?

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How many butterflies are there in the world?

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Why is it so hard to predict the outcome of competitions like the Premier League?

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Are the media exaggerating how hot it is in the Mediterranean?

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Data, extreme weather and climate change

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Ukraine war: A new way of calculating Russian deaths

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Are more adult nappies sold in Japan than baby ones?

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Does it take 10,000 litres of water to make a pair of jeans?

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Immigration: A More or Less Special Programme

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Will there be just 6 grandchildren for every 100 South Koreans?

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Halving inflation, Scottish tidal power and have 1 in 3 women had an abortion?

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US National Debt: is $32 trillion a big number?

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Mortgages, birth rates and does space contribute 18% to UK GDP?

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Is breastfeeding the key to exam success?

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Electric vehicles, 600 million bottles and does oral sex cause cancer?

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Counting Hunger in India

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Lib Dem ambulance claims, affordable rent and goat meat

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A short history of data

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Food prices, net migration and beef about beef

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Are young people more single than ever before?

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NHS waiting lists, Voter ID and measuring divorce

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Detecting Bad Science with Data

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Do 94% of marriages in Portugal really end in divorce?

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Why is life expectancy falling in the USA?

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How much is the Coronation crown worth?

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The Pentagon Leaks and Fox News

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How accurate is baby's due date?

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How to better understand and explain numbers

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A groundbreaking new proof for Pythagoras’ Theorem?

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Covid vaccines and false claims about miscarriage

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Silicon Valley Bank: a very modern bank run

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Do fungi kill three times as many people as malaria?

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Does your jewellery contain stolen Brink’s-Mat gold?

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UK vs European energy prices, falling excess deaths and is 5 grams of cocaine a lot?

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Do 29,000 coffee pods really go to landfill every minute?

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Reoffending rates, Welsh taxes and the menopause

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Florence Nightingale and how she visualised data

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Nurses' pay, ambulance times and forgotten female economists

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Spreadsheet disasters

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The IMF and the UK economy, NHS staff shortages and British vs English

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Hannah Fry on using shopping data to detect ovarian cancer

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Brexit and trade, pensioner millionaires and Hannah Fry on loyalty cards and cancer

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Are wild mammals only 4% of the mammal population?

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Coffee with the Chancellor, inflation measures, GP numbers and toilet paper

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Does toilet paper cause 15% of global deforestation?

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Ambulance response times, teacher pay and Irish pubs

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How we shook the world of very large numbers

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A&E delays and deaths, religious identity in N Ireland and naming the monster numbers

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Can China's data on covid deaths be trusted?

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Irish pubs - a global numbers game

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Numbers of the Year 2022

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Qatar World Cup: the pressure of penalties

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Why are data so important in determining how we live?

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The World Cup: how many migrant workers have died?

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When do food shortages become a famine?

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A $220 billion World Cup?

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Bonus Episode: Understand the Economy

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Improving the numbers in the news

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Lula’s “zero deforestation” plan for the Amazon

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Can China’s GDP data be trusted?

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Do half of new books really sell fewer than twelve copies?

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Ben Bernanke and the magic of banking

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Catching Chess Cheats with Data

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Teens and antidepressants, stamp duty savings and earthquake probabilities

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NASA’s asteroid collision: how many asteroids are really out there?

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Falling pound, the Queen’s funeral and is 0.5 on the Richter scale a big number?

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Ukraine’s progress in numbers

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Ukraine offensive, weak pound & how much do women really exercise

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Showing the 300 most recent of 1129 tracked episodes.

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