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BBC Radio 4
Tim Harford explains - and sometimes debunks - the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life.
1146 episodes tracked Similar shows

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Has the UK’s productivity puzzle been solved?
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29m ·

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Are carrots becoming less nutritious?
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8m ·

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Are bad teeth the number one reason kids go to A&E?
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28m ·

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Could this be the strongest El Niño in 1,000 Years?
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8m ·

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Why are so many ex-prisoners being sent back to prison?
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Is every card shuffle unique?
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Bonus podcast: Norman Numbers
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6m ·

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Do Germans really take 19.5 days of sick leave per year?
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How much of the world isn’t owned by anyone?
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14 million deaths or zero deaths? The impact of the USAID cuts
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8m ·

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How much of all the money in the world does Elon Musk have?
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8m ·

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Would you take £50,000 or a 50/50 chance of £1m?
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8m ·

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The mistake in Trump’s tariff formula
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29m ·

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Is crime in London ‘through the roof’?
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8m ·

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How much luck do you need to win the World Cup?
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8m ·

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Does playing tennis make you live 9.7 years longer?
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8m ·

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Does the average teacher really earn £54,000?
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28m ·

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Does a full moon make crime rates go up?
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8m ·

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Examining the numbers behind Andy Burnham’s ‘Manchester Miracle’
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28m ·

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Benefits v minimum wage: Which pays more?
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28m ·

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Is the US worse than North Korea for malnutrition deaths?
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8m ·

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Does Europe suffer more heat deaths than the US?
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28m ·

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Andrew Ross Sorkin: What can the Great Crash of 1929 tell us about today?
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8m ·

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Education, Education, Education (and Immigration)
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28m ·

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Factchecking claims that 400 churches were burned to the ground in France
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8m ·

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Debunking the claim that migrants will get half of new homes
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28m ·

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The known unknowns of Ebola in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
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8m ·

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Does a fall in the UK's healthy life expectancy mean what you think it means?
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28m ·

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Is the ‘loneliness epidemic’ real?
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8m ·

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Are refugees more likely to commit crime?
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28m ·

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Erdos Problem 1196: Can AI now solve maths that no human can?
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8m ·

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Why it’s wrong to say vaping is as bad for you as smoking
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8m ·

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Does it take 15,000 litres of water to produce a kilogram of beef?
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9m ·

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Have RFK and MAHA really changed American views on vaccines?
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8m ·

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Is Trump right that wind turbines are killing millions of birds?
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9m ·

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Dr Spock’s dangerous advice on baby sleep
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8m ·

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How likely is ‘likely’?
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8m ·

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How much water does AI consume?
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Paul Ehrlich: The man who bet England wouldn’t exist by the year 2000
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8m ·

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Transgender women in sport: Does ‘comparable’ mean ‘equal’?
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8m ·

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US-Israel war with Iran: Do the gulf states have enough interceptor missiles?
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8m ·

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Has a company really discovered a million new species?
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8m ·

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Did AI researchers let AI hallucinations into scientific papers?
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8m ·

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Is an ancient charioteer the best paid sportsperson of all time?
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8m ·

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Is this Premier League striker a secret maths genius?
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8m ·

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Could Europe use its financial muscle to strong-arm the US?
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8m ·

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Can you get £71,000 on benefits?
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28m ·

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Is Greenland as big as Africa?
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How close is Greenland to the United States?
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29m ·

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No, a study has not shown that the covid jab causes cancer
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8m ·

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Have more than 100 private schools been forced to close because of VAT?
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28m ·

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Does Venezuela really have the biggest oil reserves in the world?
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8m ·

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Immigration, Benefits and Inequality
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28m ·

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The Stats of the Nation: Immigration, benefits and inequality
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28m ·

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Older People, Education, Prisons and the Weather
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The Stats of the Nation: Older people, education, prisons and the weather
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The Stats of the Nation: Sex, drugs and empty homes
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29m ·

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Sex, Drugs and Empty Homes
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The Stats of the Nation: Health
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28m ·

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Health
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28m ·

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The Stats of the Nation: The Economy
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28m ·

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The Economy
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28m ·

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Numbers of the year 2026
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8m ·

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Numbers of the Year 2025
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27m ·

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Numbers of the year 2025
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Were there really Three Wise Men?
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28m ·

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The shocking world of US health costs
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8m ·

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Do we really have ‘superflu’?
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28m ·

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RCP 8.5: Why did the climate change model get it wrong?
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8m ·

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Is RFK right about US sperm counts?
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8m ·

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Richard Thaler and The Winner’s Curse
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Is there a stock market crash coming?
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8m ·

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Has there been a $50 trillion wealth transfer to the richest Americans?
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8m ·

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Is RFK Jr right about China's diabetes rate?
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Halloween special: How many people did the real Dracula impale?
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Is your housework split sexist?
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Nobel economics prize 2025: What's the big idea?
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8m ·

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Are millions of people getting Motability cars for anxiety and ADHD?
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28m ·

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Are 72% of prison inmates in Switzerland foreign?
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8m ·

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Does half the UK get more in benefits than they pay in tax?
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26m ·

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Is the world getting less miserable?
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8m ·

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Has Donald Trump ended seven 'unendable' wars?
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28m ·

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The Case of the Missing US Data
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8m ·

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Was it easier to deport migrants to France before Brexit?
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28m ·

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Is JD Vance right about left-wing violence?
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Is it true that out-of-work benefits have almost doubled?
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29m ·

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Will the world really be 50 million workers short by 2030?
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8m ·

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Are Afghan nationals more likely to be convicted of sexual offences?
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29m ·

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Do 11,000 sharks die every hour?
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8m ·

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Are self-driving cars safer than cars with drivers?
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8m ·

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Do women feel the cold more than men?
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8m ·

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How weird was the Mediterranean Sea heatwave?
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How weird was the Med Sea heatwave?
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8m ·

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Why it matters that Trump fired data chief
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8m ·

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Are abortion numbers rising in the US?
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8m ·

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Does a single AI query use a bottle of water?
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8m ·

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Are abortion numbers rising in the US?
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8m ·

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The messy history behind the modern calendar
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8m ·

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Are one in six children living through war?
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8m ·

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Why Manchester United can afford to play badly
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8m ·

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Can drinking one less bottle of coke a day halve obesity?
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26m ·

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The economics of war: Vikings, Conquistadors and Vietnam
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Is the UK seeing a Christian revival?
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28m ·

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Has Russia suffered a million casualties in the Ukraine war?
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8m ·

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Why is data on grooming gangs so bad?
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28m ·

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How to spot a suspicious statistic
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8m ·

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Are 4% of young women in the UK on OnlyFans?
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28m ·

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Could you be hit by a falling satellite?
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9m ·

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How do you make something 10-times more lethal?
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28m ·

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Is the world’s population being miscounted?
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8m ·

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Does the average American have fewer than three friends?
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Factchecking the Trump administration’s Autism claims
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9m ·

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Is the UN underestimating the global fall in fertility?
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8m ·

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How dead is the internet?
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8m ·

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Warren Buffett’s brilliant bets
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8m ·

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Bonus episode: The Autism Curve
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15m ·

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Donald Trump: 100 days fact-check
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9m ·

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Are 80% of women really only attracted to 20% of men?
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8m ·

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The pioneers of proof
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How much is a human life worth?
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8m ·

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The mistake in Trump’s tariff formula
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29m ·

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Trump tariffs: All about the deficits
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8m ·

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Is one in four people in the UK disabled?
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26m ·

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What’s Trump’s problem with Canada?
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8m ·

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Could a 2% wealth tax raise £24bn?
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28m ·

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What are the chances of an asteroid hitting earth in 2032?
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8m ·

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Why are more people claiming disability benefits?
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28m ·

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How did lockdown impact children?
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41m ·

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What is an IQ map and can we trust them?
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DOGE, apples and irregular migrants
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28m ·

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Is there really $500bn of Rare Earths in Ukraine?
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Defence Spending, Rare Earths and Trunk Truths
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Has the US really given Ukraine more aid than Europe?
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8m ·

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Are 150 year olds getting social security payments?
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Has the US sent $50 million worth of condoms to Gaza?
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8m ·

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Are black babies in the US really more likely to die under the care of white doctors?
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8m ·

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Are quantum computers already super-powerful?
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Did Trump make billions with his meme-coin?
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Can redheads handle 25% more pain than brunettes?
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8m ·

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Do 79% of Swedish asylum seekers go on holiday to the country they fled from?
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Numbers of the year part 2
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Numbers of the year 2024
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Did Mussolini make the trains run on time?
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8m ·

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How many Americans live ‘paycheck to paycheck’?
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Did one in 10 Greeks die in World War Two?
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9m ·

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Can Elon Musk save the US Government $2 trillion?
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8m ·

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Do fossil fuels get $7 trillion in subsidies?
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Did 20 million votes really go missing in the US election?
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8m ·

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Do we have enough clothes for the next six generations?
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10m ·

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What can economics learn from sport?
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Are older drivers more dangerous?
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28m ·

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Is Trump right about violent crime in Venezuela and the US?
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10m ·

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Do US crime statistics miss out the most violent cities?
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28m ·

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Nobel prize: Why are some countries so much richer than others?
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8m ·

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When are numbers like a horse at a gymkhana?
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28m ·

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Uncertainty, probability and double yoked eggs
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Should the government target persnuffle?
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27m ·

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Are 672 billion pounds of corn eaten in the US every year?
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10m ·

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How do you breed seventeen octillion rats?
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The puzzles you’re meant to get wrong
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Could the winter fuel cut cost more than it saves?
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28m ·

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Do 85% of the world’s population practice a religion?
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How do you count millionaires?
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28m ·

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Nate Silver: Do risk-takers run the world?
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How long does it take to turn around an oil tanker?
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27m ·

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Who pays when trade wars heat up?
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Exclusions, black holes and dividing by zero
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28m ·

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Where have Cuba’s people gone?
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9m ·

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Do we eat a credit card's worth of microplastic each week?
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8m ·

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Are companies making more money from their customers?
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Is planet Earth getting greener?
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10m ·

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Does a language die every two weeks?
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9m ·

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Are women 14 times more likely to die in natural disasters?
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12m ·

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Is increasing turbulence making flying more dangerous?
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10m ·

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Federer’s 54%: Tennis stats explained
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8m ·

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The magic of trigonometry
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9m ·

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Election endings, tennis and meeting men in finance
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37m ·

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How a tick box doubled the US maternal mortality rates.
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9m ·

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Election claims and erection claims
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28m ·

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Do ‘pig butchering’ cyber scams make as much as half Cambodia’s GDP?
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9m ·

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Worse mortgages, better readers, and potholes on the moon
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31m ·

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Shakespeare’s maths
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9m ·

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Leaflets, taxes, oil workers and classrooms
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28m ·

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Why medical error is not the third leading cause of death in the US
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9m ·

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Debate, Reform, tax evasion and ants
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30m ·

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Data for India
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8m ·

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UK growth, prisons and Swiftonomics
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28m ·

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Is intermittent fasting going to kill you?
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10m ·

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MP misconduct, NHS waiting lists and gold (gold)
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29m ·

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Are falling marriage rates causing happiness to fall in the US?
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9m ·

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Is reading for pleasure the single biggest factor in how well a child does in life?
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Do one in five young Americans think the holocaust is a myth?
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9m ·

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Has Milei fixed Argentina’s inflation problem?
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8m ·

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98%: Is misinformation being spread about a review of trans youth medicine?
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11m ·

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Tackling The Three-Body Problem
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8m ·

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Is loneliness as bad for you as smoking?
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8m ·

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Remembering Daniel Kahneman
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Bonus episode: Daniel Kahneman on Thinking, Fast and Slow
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9m ·

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What's happening to Arctic ice?
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9m ·

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Does the Russian government really spend 40% of its budget on the military?
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8m ·

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Is public speaking really our biggest fear?
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8m ·

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Ultramarathons: Are women faster than men?
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8m ·

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School spending, excess deaths and billions of animals at Heathrow
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28m ·

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NBA basketball: Is height more important than skill?
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8m ·

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Per capita GDP, MP claims and the entire EU budget
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28m ·

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The digital ‘robots’ unlocking medical data
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9m ·

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Debt, students, shark and chips
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28m ·

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The global gender split in young people’s politics
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8m ·

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Council tax weirdness: Hartlepool vs Westminster
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28m ·

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A pocket-size history of the calculator
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9m ·

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Measles, Traitors and the cost of Brexit
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28m ·

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Is Oxfam right about the world’s richest and poorest people?
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Shopping, shipping and wind chill-ing
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28m ·

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Are there more possible games of chess than atoms in the universe?
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8m ·

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Life expectancy, inheritance tax and the NHS vs winter
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23m ·

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Do we see 10,000 adverts per day?
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8m ·

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Deaths, taxes and missing cats
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28m ·

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How much money do the ‘Ndrangheta mafia make?
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8m ·

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Numbers of the year 2023
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13m ·

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Can chocolate be better than salad?
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8m ·

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China’s missing numbers
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8m ·

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Does endurance sport harm your heart?
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8m ·

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Will there be a billion climate refugees?
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9m ·

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A boy meets girl meets stats story
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8m ·

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Are women in the UK the biggest binge drinkers in the world?
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8m ·

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Can maths prove the existence of aliens?
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10m ·

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Do Indian women own 11% of the world’s gold?
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8m ·

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The Overlooked Mathematicians of History
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9m ·

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What do windscreen splats tell us about insect decline?
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8m ·

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Greedy jobs and the gender pay gap
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12m ·

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Are half the words in English from French?
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9m ·

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Vaccine claims, Alzheimer's treatment and Tim's Parkrun times
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28m ·

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Is the UK really ahead in cutting carbon emissions?
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8m ·

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NHS consultant pay, Net Zero claims and Scotland's ferry woes
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30m ·

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Which city has the longest canals?
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9m ·

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Social housing, NHS workforce and Liz Truss debt claims
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27m ·

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How to approach the world through numbers
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9m ·

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Skin cancer, London rents and your great-great-great-granddaughter
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28m ·

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Skin cancer, London rents and your great great great granddaughter
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28m ·

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Did 35,000 Americans die building the Panama Canal?
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14m ·

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Covid deaths, North Sea gas and Chloe Kelly's World Cup penalty
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28m ·

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What percentage of our brain do we actually use?
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HS2 and electric cars, UK vs China emissions & massive maths errors
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28m ·

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How safe is the release of Fukushima nuclear plant water?
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9m ·

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How many butterflies are there in the world?
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8m ·

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Why is it so hard to predict the outcome of competitions like the Premier League?
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9m ·

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Are the media exaggerating how hot it is in the Mediterranean?
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8m ·

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Data, extreme weather and climate change
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8m ·

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Ukraine war: A new way of calculating Russian deaths
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9m ·

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Are more adult nappies sold in Japan than baby ones?
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9m ·

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Does it take 10,000 litres of water to make a pair of jeans?
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9m ·

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Immigration: A More or Less Special Programme
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28m ·

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Will there be just 6 grandchildren for every 100 South Koreans?
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9m ·

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Halving inflation, Scottish tidal power and have 1 in 3 women had an abortion?
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31m ·

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US National Debt: is $32 trillion a big number?
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8m ·

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Mortgages, birth rates and does space contribute 18% to UK GDP?
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28m ·

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Is breastfeeding the key to exam success?
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9m ·

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Electric vehicles, 600 million bottles and does oral sex cause cancer?
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32m ·

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Counting Hunger in India
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9m ·

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Lib Dem ambulance claims, affordable rent and goat meat
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28m ·

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A short history of data
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9m ·

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Food prices, net migration and beef about beef
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30m ·

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Are young people more single than ever before?
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8m ·

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NHS waiting lists, voter ID, and measuring divorce
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28m ·

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Detecting Bad Science with Data
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10m ·

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Do 94% of marriages in Portugal really end in divorce?
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10m ·

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Why is life expectancy falling in the USA?
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10m ·

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How much is the Coronation crown worth?
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10m ·

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The Pentagon Leaks and Fox News
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9m ·

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How accurate is baby's due date?
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10m ·

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How to better understand and explain numbers
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10m ·

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A groundbreaking new proof for Pythagoras’ Theorem?
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10m ·

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Covid vaccines and false claims about miscarriage
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9m ·

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Silicon Valley Bank: a very modern bank run
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9m ·

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Do fungi kill three times as many people as malaria?
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8m ·

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Does your jewellery contain stolen Brink’s-Mat gold?
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10m ·

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UK vs European energy prices, falling excess deaths and is 5 grams of cocaine a lot?
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28m ·

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Do 29,000 coffee pods really go to landfill every minute?
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10m ·

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Reoffending rates, Welsh taxes and the menopause
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29m ·

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Florence Nightingale and how she visualised data
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10m ·

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Nurses' pay, ambulance times and forgotten female economists
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28m ·

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Spreadsheet disasters
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10m ·

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The IMF and the UK economy, NHS staff shortages and British v English
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28m ·

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The IMF and the UK economy, NHS staff shortages and British vs English
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28m ·

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Hannah Fry on using shopping data to detect ovarian cancer
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9m ·

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Brexit and trade; pensioner millionaires; and Hannah Fry on loyalty cards and cancer
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28m ·

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Are wild mammals only 4% of the mammal population?
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10m ·

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Coffee with the chancellor, inflation measures, GP numbers and toilet paper
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28m ·

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Does toilet paper cause 15% of global deforestation?
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8m ·

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Ambulance response times, teacher pay and Irish pubs
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29m ·

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How we shook the world of very large numbers
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8m ·

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A&E delays and deaths, religious identity in N Ireland and naming the monster numbers
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28m ·

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Can China's data on covid deaths be trusted?
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9m ·

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Irish pubs - a global numbers game
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10m ·

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Numbers of the Year 2022
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8m ·

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Qatar World Cup: the pressure of penalties
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8m ·

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Why are data so important in determining how we live?
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8m ·

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The World Cup: how many migrant workers have died?
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10m ·

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When do food shortages become a famine?
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8m ·

Not scored yet
A $220 billion World Cup?
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8m ·
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