SCOUT· 65%44m·2026-08-26·ScienceThe mathematics of AI uncertainty
Now, if you ask an AI a question, it will usually give you an absolute answer with unwavering authority, even if that answer turns out to be wrong. In fact, today's AI seems to be missing a fundamental human trait: self-doubt. Long before the current wave of large language models, one academic researcher was trying to…
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“This may be the most important insight in all of AI right now. The biggest flaw in today's systems is not what they do not know it is that they cannot tell you they do not know. Confidence keeps getting mistaken for capability. Manav Golech…”
“That was a super interesting chat. There are potentially so many rabbit holes you could have gone down; it's a good job you actually got that talk done in reasonable time.”
“This is a great topic with an interesting host… 😅”
“Salience, uncertainty, hierarchical planning. We've got a lot of architectural changes to make.”
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